GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/22/2023, 5:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Launceston United are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.25 conceded, while Riverside are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (17.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

74.4%

Model confidence

74.4%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston UnitedLLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/4.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
RiversideLLLL

GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.50/4.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Launceston UnitedRiverside
31.5Attack57.4
0.0Defence38.9
9.3Form44.4
17.5Power46.3
1.24xG3.52
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