GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/30/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Lowconfidence

Launceston United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

83.8%

Model confidence

9.8%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston United U21LLDLW

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ulverstone U21WDLWD

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston United U21Ulverstone U21
28.1Attack84.3
0.0Defence39.2
14.0Form58.8
15.8Power58.8
1.21xG4.50
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