GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Launceston United U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ulverstone are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 47.6-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

82.6%

Model confidence

82.6%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston United U21LDWLD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston United U21Ulverstone
28.1Attack98.4
0.0Defence38.1
14.0Form65.1
15.8Power63.4
1.21xG4.50
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