Launceston United U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Launceston United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Somerset are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
72.6%
Model confidence
7.8%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00