Launceston United U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/16/2025, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 8.20 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 41 · avg 0.60/8.20
GF 11 · GA 18 · avg 2.20/3.60