Launceston United U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/10/2024, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 5.40 conceded, while Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 27 · avg 0.40/5.40
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80