GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.00 scored and 5.50 conceded, while Somerset are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

71.1%

Model confidence

71.1%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston United U21LL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/5.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
SomersetWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Launceston United U21Somerset
28.1Attack74.1
0.0Defence9.3
14.0Form42.6
15.8Power39.4
1.90xG4.50
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