GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/9/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Launceston United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

68.4%

Model confidence

68.4%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston United U21DLWLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Burnie Utd.WLDWL

GF 16 · GA 21 · avg 3.20/4.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston United U21Burnie Utd.
28.1Attack80.7
0.0Defence0.0
14.0Form29.8
15.8Power32.9
2.06xG4.50
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