Launceston United U21vs
Burnie Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/14/2025, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Launceston United U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burnie Utd.
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40