Launceston U21vs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/26/2025, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Launceston U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80
GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60