GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/22/2024, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Launceston U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ulverstone are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston U21WDLLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneLLWWD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21Ulverstone
55.6Attack98.4
33.3Defence38.1
44.4Form65.1
44.0Power63.4
2.27xG4.03
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