Launceston U21vs
Somerset
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Launceston U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston U21
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
6.3%
Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60