Launceston U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/14/2025, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Launceston U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Somerset are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston U21
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 22 · avg 2.20/4.40