Launceston U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Launceston U21 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston U21
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 22 · GA 5 · avg 4.40/1.00