GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/11/2024, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Launceston U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston U21

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston U21WWLWL

GF 18 · GA 11 · avg 3.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetDWLWW

GF 22 · GA 11 · avg 4.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21Somerset
55.6Attack74.1
33.3Defence9.3
44.4Form42.6
44.0Power39.4
3.56xG2.90
View match centre →