GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/27/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Launceston U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston U21

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

69.2%

Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston U21LLWDD

GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Riverside Olympic U21LDWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston U21Riverside Olympic U21
55.6Attack46.3
33.3Defence0.0
44.4Form27.8
44.0Power23.4
3.94xG1.74
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