GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/2/2025, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston U21

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston U21LLWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Burnie Utd.LLLLL

GF 6 · GA 26 · avg 1.20/5.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21Burnie Utd.
55.6Attack80.7
33.3Defence0.0
44.4Form29.8
44.0Power32.9
3.86xG3.09
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