GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/22/2025, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Launceston U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston U21

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston U21WWDLW

GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.LLDLL

GF 5 · GA 22 · avg 1.00/4.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston U21Burnie Utd.
55.6Attack80.7
33.3Defence0.0
44.4Form29.8
44.0Power32.9
3.86xG3.09
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