GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/20/2024, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 2.75 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Launceston U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston U21

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Launceston U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston U21LWLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.75/3.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Burnie Utd.WLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.50/3.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Launceston U21Burnie Utd.
55.6Attack80.7
33.3Defence0.0
44.4Form29.8
44.0Power32.9
3.86xG3.09
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