GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/14/2026, 5:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Launceston City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ulverstone are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 5.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

84.6%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityWWWWD

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneLWWLW

GF 26 · GA 13 · avg 5.20/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston CityUlverstone
71.9Attack27.8
35.1Defence0.0
56.1Form7.4
52.9Power15.3
4.50xG1.09
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