GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Launceston City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

74.6%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityLWWWL

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South HobartWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
71.9Attack100.0
35.1Defence70.4
56.1Form87.0
52.9Power83.0
1.46xG3.98
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