Launceston Cityvs
South Hobart
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Launceston City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80