Launceston Cityvs
Riverside
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/20/2026, 9:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Launceston City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Riverside are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston City
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80