GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/15/2023, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Launceston City are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

71.4%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityLWW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Kingborough LionsWWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Launceston CityKingborough Lions
71.9Attack91.2
35.1Defence68.4
56.1Form75.4
52.9Power74.6
1.49xG3.71
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