GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/7/2026, 5:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Launceston City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

8.2%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityWWWDW

GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsWWLWD

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston CityGlenorchy Knights
71.9Attack42.6
35.1Defence38.9
56.1Form31.5
52.9Power39.0
3.19xG1.56
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