Launceston Cityvs
Glenorchy Knights
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/7/2026, 5:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Launceston City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston City
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
8.2%
Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20