Latvia U21vs
Malta U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Latvia U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Latvia U21 2-0 Malta U21
Original prediction
Latvia U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.7% | 54.8% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.6% | 22.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 8.54 | 10.7% | 22.9% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Latvia U21
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Latvia U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 2 · GA 20 · avg 0.40/4.00