Latvia U21vs
Germany U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Germany U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Latvia U21 0-3 Germany U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Latvia U21 0-4 Germany U21
Original prediction
Germany U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 24.24 | 3.8% | 2.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 11.05 | 8.4% | 7.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 87.8% | 89.3% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Latvia U21 0–3 Germany U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Germany U21
Probability
89.3%
Model confidence
89.3%
Germany U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20