Latinavs
Vis Pesaro
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Latina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Latina 1-0 Vis Pesaro
Original prediction
Latina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.5% | 51.6% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.12 | 17.7% | 23.1% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Latina
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Latina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LatinaWDDLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Vis PesaroLWLLL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LatinaVis Pesaro
33.3Attack47.6
63.0Defence19.0
37.0Form19.0
46.1Power31.9
1.51xG0.93