Latinavs
Ostia Mare
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Latina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Latina 1-1 Ostia Mare
Original prediction
Latina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.4% | 39.6% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 29.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.5% | 30.9% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Latina
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Latina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LatinaLDLWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ostia MareDWLLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LatinaOstia Mare
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.23xG1.04