Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Latina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Latina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Casertana are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Latina hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Latina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Latina
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Latina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40