Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Lasten are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Haka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 66.6-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Suomen Cup, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60