Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lask Linz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zrinjski are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40