GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lask Linz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lask LinzWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union St. GilloiseWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lask LinzUnion St. Gilloise
37.5Attack33.3
41.7Defence66.7
29.2Form58.3
37.6Power55.2
0.88xG1.19
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