GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lask Linz · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lask Linz 3-0 SCR Altach

Original prediction

Lask Linz

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4265.5%56.6%-8.9 pts
Draw4.5620.4%23.7%3.3 pts
Away6.5814.1%19.7%5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Lask Linz

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lask LinzWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SCR AltachLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lask LinzSCR Altach
100.0Attack33.3
88.9Defence58.3
100.0Form25.0
96.3Power40.3
1.90xG0.81
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