Lask Linzvs
Red Bull Salzburg
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lask Linz 1-3 Red Bull Salzburg
Original prediction
Lask Linz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 43.2% | 39.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.4% | 24.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.3% | 36.4% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Lask Linz
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60