GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lask Linz 0-2 Rapid Vienna

Original prediction

Lask Linz

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8351.0%44.3%-6.7 pts
Draw3.9123.8%23.9%0.1 pts
Away3.6925.2%31.9%6.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Lask Linz

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lask LinzWDLLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rapid ViennaWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Lask LinzRapid Vienna
90.5Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
76.2Form85.7
76.8Power79.4
1.68xG1.47
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