Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Lask Linz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Liverpool are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80