Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lask Linz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FCSB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40