Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lask Linz are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Celtic are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lask Linz hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while Lask Linz holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lask Linz
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
10.6%
Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 1 · avg 3.40/0.20
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00