Las Vegas LightsvsOrange County SC

Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orange County SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.