Las Vegas LightsvsLexington

Las Vegas Lights are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lexington are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.