GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Las Vegas Lights are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleston Battery hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the USL Championship, while Charleston Battery holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleston Battery

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

12.1%

Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Las Vegas LightsWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Charleston BatteryLWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Las Vegas LightsCharleston Battery
45.6Attack66.7
52.6Defence57.9
45.6Form57.9
50.6Power59.5
1.20xG1.78
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