Las Vegas Lightsvs
Charleston Battery
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Vegas Lights 0-2 Charleston Battery
Original prediction
Charleston Battery
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.5% | 25.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 22.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 44.0% | 51.8% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Charleston Battery
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00