Las Rozasvs
SS Reyes II
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Las Rozas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Rozas 4-2 SS Reyes II
Original prediction
Las Rozas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.8% | 47.2% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 25.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.02 | 18.1% | 27.4% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Las Rozas
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Las Rozas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33