Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 28 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Home
D
32
Full time
União de Leiria

União de Leiria

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

União de Leiria33%
Las Palmas33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Las Palmas
33%
Draw
33%
União de Leiria
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Las Palmas
34
União de Leiria
73
Defence
Las Palmas
66
União de Leiria
91
Momentum
Las Palmas
33
União de Leiria
100
Danger (xG)
Las Palmas
0.00
União de Leiria
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Las Palmas)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (União de Leiria)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Las Palmas)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (União de Leiria)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Las PalmasLas Palmas
DW
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
WD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Las Palmas33%
Draw33%
União de Leiria33%

União de Leiria leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Las Palmas head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while União de Leiria arrive in mixed form (W). Las Palmas have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for União de Leiria over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Las Palmas (66/100) and União de Leiria (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Las Palmas have limited home data in the engine at this stage. União de Leiria have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Las Palmas have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Las Palmas and União de Leiria in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Las Palmas 3333%, Draw 3333%, União de Leiria 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

D
@ Malaga
10 Jun 2026
11
xG 0.0
W
@ Almeria
16 May 2026
21
União de Leiria

União de Leiria

W
vs AD Marco 09
15 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Feirense
17 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Las Palmas vs União de Leiria?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs União de Leiria?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs União de Leiria?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Las Palmas vs União de Leiria?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more