Las Palmasvs
Real Sociedad II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Las Palmas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Palmas 1-0 Real Sociedad II
Original prediction
Las Palmas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.8% | 43.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.4% | 25.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.8% | 31.1% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Las Palmas
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Las Palmas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80