Las Palmasvs
Leganes
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Las Palmas 0-0 Leganes, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Palmas 0-0 Leganes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.6% | 35.4% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.9% | 32.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 24.5% | 32.4% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.33 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Las Palmas 0–0 Leganes
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Las PalmasLWWWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LeganesWWDDW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Las PalmasLeganes
43.9Attack44.4
68.2Defence78.6
56.1Form58.7
57.3Power61.2
0.71xG0.78