Las Palmas IIvs
Tenerife II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tenerife II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Palmas II 1-1 Tenerife II
Original prediction
Tenerife II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.2% | 27.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 27.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.0% | 45.1% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Tenerife II
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Tenerife II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40