Las Palmas IIvs
Puente Genil
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puente Genil · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Las Palmas II 0-0 Puente Genil, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Palmas II 1-2 Puente Genil
Original prediction
Puente Genil
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.4% | 29.8% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.0% | 30.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.6% | 39.5% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Projected Score
Las Palmas II 0–0 Puente Genil
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Puente Genil
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Puente Genil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00