Las Palmas IIvs
Badajoz
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Las Palmas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Las Palmas II 0-0 Badajoz
Original prediction
Las Palmas II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.2% | 39.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.8% | 29.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.0% | 30.3% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Las Palmas II
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Las Palmas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80