GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Las Mandarinas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Uribelarrea are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Uribelarrea hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

32.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Las MandarinasWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UribelarreaWDWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Las MandarinasUribelarrea
30.6Attack30.6
61.1Defence75.0
38.9Form52.8
46.0Power55.4
0.48xG0.67
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