UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Larne

Larne

Home
WW
21
Full time
Tre Fiori

Tre Fiori

Away
LL
Inver Park
GoalVio prediction
65% confidence
Larne(65%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Larne
Win probability
Larne
65%
Draw
21%
Tre Fiori
14%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Larne
54
Tre Fiori
18
Defence
Larne
82
Tre Fiori
46
Momentum
Larne
100
Tre Fiori
0
Danger (xG)
Larne
1.35
Tre Fiori
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Larne)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Tre Fiori)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Larne)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Tre Fiori)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LarneLarne
WW
Tre FioriTre Fiori
LL

Probability breakdown

65% confidence
Larne65%
Draw21%
Tre Fiori14%

Larne leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Larne head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Inver Park in decent form (WW), while Tre Fiori arrive in mixed form (LL). Larne have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Tre Fiori over 2 games.

The model rates Larne's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Tre Fiori defence, and Tre Fiori's attack at 18/100 against a 82/100 Larne backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Larne have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Tre Fiori have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Larne have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Larne to win with 65% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Larne 6468%, Draw 2087%, Tre Fiori 1446%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Larne 2Draws 00 Tre Fiori
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/2
14 Jul 2026
Larne
W21
Tre Fiori
7 Jul 2026
Larne
W10
Tre Fiori

Recent form

Larne

Larne

W
vs Tre Fiori
14 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Tre Fiori
7 Jul 2026
10
Tre Fiori

Tre Fiori

L
@ Larne
14 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Larne
7 Jul 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Larne vs Tre Fiori?

GoalVio's model predicts Larne to win with 65% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Larne vs Tre Fiori?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Larne vs Tre Fiori?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Larne vs Tre Fiori?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more